Turkey’s second round could undermine security in Europe and beyond

CIPHER BRIEF REPORT – With global attention focused on the second round of Turkey’s presidential election, in which incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdogan faces the most serious challenge of his career, global interest is focused on the relative political landscape that could transform the country in a pivotal, albeit complex, way. , NATO member.

Kemal Kilicdaroglu, who is seeking to end two decades of Erdogan’s rule despite earlier leads, is currently trailing in the polls ahead of Sunday’s vote. Whoever wins will ultimately guide Turkey through a period of soaring inflation, crumbling infrastructure after February’s 7.8-magnitude earthquake and increasingly strained relations with Russia, the West, the Middle East and China.

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